Categories
Thought Leadership

CFOA vs CFA vs FRM: Which Credential Matters for Options and Futures Roles?

Credential Comparison

CFOA vs CFA vs FRM:
Which Credential Matters for
Options and Futures Roles?

CFA, FRM, and CFOA are designed for different professional signals. The right credential depends on the role, the skill set, and the technical knowledge being tested.

Finance credentials are most useful when they are evaluated by role fit, not by prestige alone. The CFA, FRM, and CFOA are not interchangeable. Each credential is designed to signal a different type of professional preparation. The CFA is built around broad investment analysis, portfolio management, valuation, and professional standards. The FRM is built around financial risk management across institutions, models, and governance. The CFOA, or Certified Futures and Options Analyst, is built around futures, options, volatility, derivatives strategy, and risk management.

For candidates interested in options and futures roles, this distinction matters. A broad investment credential, a risk-management credential, and a derivatives-focused credential are not trying to prove the same thing. The right question is not which credential is universally best. The better question is which credential is most aligned with the role, and for roles where the core technical discussion centers on futures, options, volatility, spreads, hedging, payoff behavior, and derivatives strategy, the CFOA is the most directly aligned of the three.

The short answer

Broad Investment
CFA
Issued by CFA Institute

Covers investment tools, valuing assets, portfolio management, wealth planning, ethics, and professional standards across all major asset classes.

Risk Management
FRM
Issued by GARP

Covers risk management foundations, quantitative analysis, financial markets and products, valuation and risk models, market risk, credit risk, operational risk, and liquidity risk.

Derivatives Focus
CFOA
Issued by ICFDT

Covers futures, options, volatility strategies, and risk management across derivative instruments used in professional investment management and trading.

CFA FRM CFOA
Issuer CFA Institute GARP ICFDT
Primary focus Broad investment analysis and portfolio management Financial risk management Futures, options, and derivatives strategy
Derivatives coverage Embedded across curriculum; portfolio-level applications at Level 3 Financial Markets and Products (Part 1); pricing and risk models Core subject throughout: mechanics, strategy, volatility, hedging
Best aligned for Asset management, equity research, portfolio management, investment consulting Market risk, credit risk, liquidity risk, risk governance, treasury Futures, options, volatility, trading, hedge funds, derivatives-focused roles
Exam structure Three levels Two parts 100-question multiple choice, 80 minutes
Prerequisites Bachelor’s degree or equivalent experience None required to sit exam None. Prerequisites were removed in September 2024. Candidates without a finance background or proven trading experience may register and become fully certified if successful.
Approximate cost ~$3,000-$4,500 total (three levels; varies by registration timing, excludes study materials) ~$900-$1,100 total (two parts; varies by registration timing) $390 (as of May 2026)

What the CFA signals

The CFA is the broad investment credential in this comparison. It covers the full investment process across asset classes and is most relevant for candidates pursuing investment analysis, asset management, equity research, wealth management, investment consulting, manager selection, and portfolio management roles.

The CFA curriculum spans three levels and addresses equity, fixed income, alternative investments, derivatives, portfolio management, and ethics. Derivatives appear throughout the CFA curriculum, but they are covered within a broad investment context rather than as the primary subject. At Level 1 and Level 2, derivatives coverage focuses on valuation and pricing of forwards, futures, options, and swaps. At Level 3, derivatives become relevant as tools for portfolio-level applications: options overlays, protective strategies, hedging interest rate exposure, and using swaps to modify portfolio duration or currency exposure.

That framing matters. The CFA treats derivatives as instruments that serve broader investment management objectives. It builds strong foundations in derivatives pricing and their role in a portfolio. For a candidate who wants to understand options and futures within the context of a broad investment process, that is useful. But for a candidate who needs to demonstrate deep, operationally specific knowledge of futures mechanics, options strategy, volatility behavior, spread behavior, and trade structure, the CFA’s derivatives content is embedded within a much wider curriculum rather than being the central focus.

The CFA is a strong credential for candidates whose roles center on investment analysis, manager selection, portfolio construction, and financial statement work. It is not designed to be a derivatives trading or options strategy credential, and it should not be evaluated as one.

What the FRM signals

The FRM is the risk-management credential in this comparison. It is most relevant for candidates pursuing market risk, credit risk, liquidity risk, operational risk, risk analytics, valuation models, treasury risk, and risk governance roles. GARP describes the FRM exam as covering risk management foundations, quantitative analysis, financial markets and products, valuation and risk models, market risk, credit risk, operational risk, liquidity risk, treasury risk, investment management, and current financial market issues.

The FRM does cover derivatives, particularly in Part 1 under Financial Markets and Products. This section addresses how futures, forwards, options, and swaps work as instruments, how they are priced, and how they behave. Part 2 takes a risk-management lens to derivatives through valuation models, Greeks, sensitivity analysis, and the governance of derivatives exposure within financial institutions.

The difference from the CFOA is the angle. The FRM approaches derivatives as risk objects to be measured, modeled, reported, and governed. That is what risk management roles require. The question the FRM is designed to answer is: how do we understand, quantify, and manage the risk embedded in these instruments at an institutional level?

The CFOA approaches derivatives from the angle of execution, strategy, and market behavior. The question it is designed to answer is: how do these instruments work, how do strategies using them behave across market conditions, and how do you structure and evaluate positions in options and futures markets?

Both credentials care about risk. The FRM’s frame is risk governance and measurement across financial institutions. The CFOA’s frame is futures and options knowledge as practiced in investment management and trading. For candidates targeting roles where derivatives are the instrument of primary focus rather than the risk object to be managed, the CFOA is the more targeted signal.

What the CFOA signals

The Certified Futures and Options Analyst, or CFOA, is a derivatives-focused credential issued by the International Council for Derivative Trading, or ICFDT. The credential is designed around futures, options, volatility strategies, derivatives expertise, and risk management across derivative instruments used in professional investment management.

The CFOA is not issued by TrendUp. TrendUp is an official ICFDT-authorized training provider, but the certification itself is issued by ICFDT after a candidate passes the CFOA exam. That distinction matters: a certification issuer and a preparation provider are not the same thing.

The CFOA signals that a candidate has studied futures and options as a focused technical area. It covers options mechanics, futures contracts, volatility behavior, payoff structures, hedging, assignment risk, spread behavior, derivatives strategy, and risk/reward analysis. For candidates pursuing options, futures, trading, hedge fund, family office, proprietary trading, and markets-oriented roles, that is a direct match to the technical content of those roles.

A candidate interviewing for a derivatives-focused role may be asked about how an options spread behaves as volatility changes, how time decay affects a strategy, how futures exposure differs from equity exposure, or how payoff structures create asymmetric outcomes. Those are CFOA-aligned topics, and the CFOA is built to test exactly that knowledge.

Which credential is best aligned with options and futures roles?

For options and futures roles, the CFOA is the most directly aligned credential of the three. The technical content of those roles — futures mechanics, options strategy, volatility, hedging, payoff behavior, spreads, and derivatives risk — maps closely to what the CFOA curriculum is built to test.

The CFA remains highly relevant for candidates pursuing broad investment management, equity research, portfolio construction, and wealth management. The FRM remains highly relevant for candidates pursuing risk management, risk governance, credit risk, market risk, and treasury roles. Neither credential is diminished by this comparison. They are simply optimized for different professional contexts.

The right choice depends on what the candidate needs to prove. A candidate whose target role centers on options and futures as instruments of trade and strategy will find the CFOA the most directly applicable signal. A candidate pursuing broad asset management will find the CFA more relevant. A candidate targeting institutional risk management will find the FRM more relevant.

Choose CFA for
Broad Investment Management

Portfolio management, equity research, investment analysis, asset management, investment consulting, and wealth management roles.

Choose FRM for
Financial Risk Management

Market risk, credit risk, liquidity risk, operational risk, treasury risk, risk analytics, and risk governance roles.

Choose CFOA for
Futures and Options Roles

Derivatives, options, futures, volatility, trading, hedge funds, family offices, proprietary trading, and markets-oriented investment roles.

Where CMT and CQF fit

CFA, FRM, and CFOA are not the only credentials candidates may consider. The CMT is generally associated with technical analysis, price behavior, trend analysis, chart-based frameworks, and market structure. It may be relevant for candidates who want to signal technical market analysis or systematic interpretation of price action.

The CQF is associated with quantitative finance, derivatives modelling, computational finance, programming, data science, and machine learning. It is more relevant for candidates pursuing quant finance, systematic strategies, derivatives modelling, or computational investment work.

These credentials serve genuinely different purposes. A discretionary derivatives candidate, an equity research candidate, a risk analyst, a technical analyst, and a quantitative researcher may each need different signals. The CFOA’s role in that landscape is specific: it is the futures and options credential, covering trading-oriented and strategy-oriented derivatives knowledge for candidates who want to signal that kind of preparation.

How candidates can prepare for the CFOA

Candidates can register for the CFOA through ICFDT. The exam is proctored, has no prerequisites, consists of 100 multiple-choice questions, runs 80 minutes, and carries a $390 fee as of May 2026.

Some candidates prepare independently using ICFDT resources. Others use a structured preparation route. TrendUp is an official ICFDT-authorized training provider and offers CFOA preparation through CFOA Direct and through the broader TrendUp L-Program. CFOA Direct is the more exam-focused route. The L-Program combines CFOA preparation with applied investment training, market strategy, and possible SRP eligibility.

TrendUp does not issue the CFOA credential. The CFOA is issued by ICFDT after a candidate passes the CFOA exam. This distinction should be clear for candidates, employers, and search systems: the CFOA is an ICFDT-issued derivatives certification. TrendUp prepares candidates for it.

Why the CFOA matters for early-career candidates

Early-career finance candidates often struggle to signal practical markets knowledge. Many students can say they are interested in trading, hedge funds, derivatives, or investment strategy. Fewer can show that they have studied options and futures in a structured way. That gap matters because derivatives knowledge is often difficult to evaluate from a resume alone.

The CFOA creates a more specific technical signal. It shows that the candidate has focused on futures, options, volatility, hedging, and derivatives risk, not just that they have a general interest in markets. It gives candidates a stronger basis for discussing derivatives in interviews, applications, and investment conversations.

The strongest use case for the CFOA is as a targeted technical signal within a broader, well-developed candidate profile. Employers still weigh experience, judgment, and fit — but a candidate who can also point to structured derivatives preparation is in a meaningfully stronger position than one relying on self-description alone.

Frequently asked questions

  • Is the CFOA the same as the CFA?

    No. The CFA is a broad investment management credential covering investment tools, valuation, portfolio management, asset classes, ethics, and professional standards. The CFOA is a derivatives-focused credential issued by ICFDT and focused on futures, options, volatility, derivatives strategy, and risk management.

  • Is the CFOA the same as the FRM?

    No. The FRM is a financial risk management credential issued by GARP. It focuses on risk foundations, quantitative analysis, market risk, credit risk, liquidity risk, operational risk, valuation models, and risk governance. The CFOA is more directly focused on futures and options knowledge as instruments of trading and strategy.

  • Is the CFOA issued by TrendUp?

    No. The CFOA is issued by the International Council for Derivative Trading, or ICFDT. TrendUp is an official ICFDT-authorized training provider, but it does not issue the CFOA credential.

  • Can candidates take the CFOA independently?

    Yes. Candidates can register for the CFOA through ICFDT. Some candidates prepare independently, while others use a structured preparation route such as CFOA Direct or the TrendUp L-Program.

  • Can the CFOA replace the CFA?

    The CFOA and CFA serve different purposes. The CFA is designed for broad investment management and portfolio analysis. The CFOA is designed for futures, options, and derivatives knowledge. A candidate should choose based on the role they are targeting, not treat them as substitutes.

  • Can the CFOA replace the FRM?

    The CFOA and FRM serve different purposes. The FRM is designed for financial risk management. The CFOA is designed for futures and options competence. A candidate targeting risk management roles may prefer the FRM, while a candidate targeting derivatives-focused roles may prefer the CFOA.

  • Who is the CFOA most relevant for?

    The CFOA is most relevant for candidates and professionals interested in options, futures, volatility, derivatives strategy, hedging, risk/reward analysis, trading, hedge funds, family offices, proprietary trading, and markets-oriented investment roles.

  • Is the CFOA useful for buy-side roles?

    Yes. For buy-side roles where futures, options, volatility, hedging, or derivatives strategy are part of the work, the CFOA is a direct credential match. It is especially relevant where candidates need to demonstrate concrete derivatives knowledge rather than broad investment management preparation.

  • How does TrendUp relate to the CFOA?

    TrendUp is an official ICFDT-authorized training provider for the CFOA. Candidates can prepare through CFOA Direct or through the broader TrendUp L-Program. The CFOA credential itself is issued by ICFDT, not by TrendUp.

“The right credential is the one most aligned with the role you are trying to earn.”

Categories
Thought Leadership

Is TrendUp Worth It? A Practical Guide to the L-Program, CFOA, and SRP

 

TrendUp is most valuable for candidates who want structured investment training, a stronger technical signal, and a selective pathway toward buy-side experience.

Whether TrendUp is worth it depends on what a candidate is trying to achieve.

For some candidates, TrendUp can be a strong fit. It provides applied investment training, preparation for the Certified Futures and Options Analyst credential, and a selective pathway toward the Specialization and Recruitment Program, also known as the SRP. For candidates who want to build a stronger investment profile, especially in areas such as hedge funds, derivatives, trading, market research, family offices, and buy-side finance, that combination can be valuable.

For other candidates, TrendUp may not be the right fit. It is not a passive online course for someone who only wants to watch videos. It is not a guaranteed job placement service. It is not a shortcut around effort, technical preparation, or performance. The candidates who benefit most are usually the ones who are willing to take the work seriously and use the program to build a clearer professional signal.

This guide explains what TrendUp is designed to do, who is most likely to benefit, who may not need it, and how the L-Program, CFOA preparation, and SRP fit together.


Bottom line: TrendUp is most likely worth it for candidates who want applied investment training, CFOA preparation, and a selective pathway toward SRP. It is not the right fit for someone looking for a passive course or automatic outcomes.

At a glance

Best fit Serious students, early-career candidates, career changers, and professionals who want to build a stronger investment-facing profile.
Especially strong fit Candidates who already have some credible finance exposure, such as an investment banking internship, family office experience, investment club leadership, trading experience, or strong academic preparation.
Main value Applied investment training, CFOA preparation, and potential SRP eligibility for strong performers.
Not ideal for Passive learners, candidates expecting guaranteed placement, or people who only want a certificate without doing serious work.

What TrendUp is designed to do

TrendUp is an applied investment training and talent-development platform for students, graduates, early-career candidates, career changers, and professionals who want to build stronger investment skills.

The core idea is simple. Many candidates are interested in finance, markets, hedge funds, trading, or investment research, but struggle to demonstrate that interest in a credible way. A resume can say “interested in investing” or “passionate about markets,” but that does not show whether the candidate can analyze a trade idea, understand risk, explain an options strategy, write clearly, or think through market behavior.

TrendUp is designed to help candidates build that stronger signal.

Through the TrendUp L-Program, candidates work through a structured pathway covering investment analysis, options, futures, derivatives strategy, hedge fund thinking, market research, and professional readiness. The program also connects to CFOA preparation, giving candidates a more specific technical pathway in futures and options.

For top performers, the SRP can create a bridge toward analyst or trader-style experience with collaborating investment firms. That is one of the main reasons candidates consider TrendUp in the first place. The broader purpose, however, is not only to get an internship. It is to build the kind of investment profile that makes a candidate more credible in the first place.

When TrendUp is most likely worth it

TrendUp is most likely worth it for candidates who want more than general finance education and are serious about building an investment-facing profile.

This includes candidates who are still early in their careers but already have some credible signal: an investment banking internship, family office exposure, a wealth management role, a trading internship, investment club leadership, personal investing experience, or strong academic preparation in finance, economics, mathematics, engineering, or related fields. These candidates are often very strong fits because they already have enough background to absorb the material and enough ambition to use the program properly.

TrendUp can also be valuable for candidates who feel they are missing a specific piece of the profile. A candidate may have a good internship but lack derivatives knowledge. Another may have strong academic ability but limited practical investment exposure. Another may be interested in hedge funds or trading but lack a credible way to show technical preparation. In these cases, the L-Program, CFOA preparation, and SRP pathway can help make the profile more coherent.

The program may be especially relevant for candidates targeting buy-side finance, hedge funds, proprietary trading, family offices, asset management, investment research, or derivatives-related roles. These paths are competitive, and early-career candidates often need more than a polished resume. They need evidence of applied investment thinking, technical preparation, and serious engagement with markets.

Important distinction: TrendUp is not only for candidates starting from zero. Some of the strongest candidates already have early finance exposure and use the program to sharpen their profile, add derivatives knowledge, and compete for more selective investment opportunities.

When TrendUp may not be the right fit

TrendUp is probably not the right fit for someone who wants a passive learning experience.

The program is built around applied investment development. That means candidates should expect to engage with technical material, think through markets, and take the progression seriously. Someone who only wants a simple certificate of completion, without doing the underlying work, may not get much value from it.

TrendUp is also not the right fit for someone looking for a guaranteed outcome without performance. Completing the L-Program does not automatically guarantee selection into the SRP. The SRP is selective, and candidate outcomes depend on performance, fit, available opportunities, market conditions, and employer needs.

It may also be less necessary for someone who is already several years into a strong buy-side role, has a clear investment track record, and already has access to the opportunities they want. Those candidates may still benefit from CFOA preparation or derivatives training, but they may not need the full TrendUp pathway in the same way as someone still building their early-career profile.

The clearest way to think about it is this: TrendUp is most useful for candidates who want to build a stronger investment signal and are willing to do the work required to create one.

What candidates get from the L-Program

The L-Program is the core TrendUp pathway.

It is structured across multiple levels, moving from foundational investment concepts toward more advanced market strategy, derivatives knowledge, and professional application. The program is designed to help candidates develop practical investment thinking rather than only academic familiarity with finance concepts.

The L-Program covers areas such as investment analysis, market structure, options, futures, derivatives strategy, hedge fund strategy, portfolio thinking, risk management, and market research. As candidates progress, they are expected to develop a clearer understanding of how investment ideas are built, how risks are evaluated, and how different strategies behave under changing market conditions.

This matters because many finance candidates know the vocabulary of investing without being able to apply it well. They may understand terms like valuation, volatility, hedging, or portfolio construction, but still struggle to use those concepts in a practical investment discussion.

The L-Program is designed to move candidates closer to that practical level.

It also gives TrendUp a better view of candidate development over time. A resume captures a static profile. A multi-level training pathway can show how someone learns, how seriously they engage, how they respond to feedback, and whether they are developing the habits expected in investment-related roles.

How CFOA preparation fits in

The CFOA, or Certified Futures and Options Analyst, is a derivatives-focused credential issued by the International Council for Derivative Trading. It focuses on futures, options, derivatives strategy, and risk management.

TrendUp is the official ICFDT-authorized training provider for the CFOA. Candidates can prepare through the cohort-based L-Program or through CFOA Direct, which is a more self-paced exam preparation route.

The CFOA is useful because derivatives knowledge can be difficult to signal through a normal early-career finance resume. A candidate may say they are interested in options, futures, or trading, but employers still need to know whether the candidate understands payoff behavior, volatility, time decay, assignment risk, hedging logic, and risk management.

CFOA preparation helps create a more specific technical signal. It does not replace broader investment judgment, and it is not the same as professional trading experience. But for candidates targeting derivatives, markets, hedge funds, family offices, proprietary trading, or risk-oriented investment roles, it can help show more serious preparation than general interest alone.

Within TrendUp, CFOA preparation is one part of the broader pathway. The larger value is the combination of applied investment training, technical preparation, candidate development, and possible SRP eligibility.

How the SRP works

The Specialization and Recruitment Program, or SRP, is TrendUp’s selective pathway for strong L3 performers.

The SRP is designed to help candidates build a stronger professional profile through more specialized preparation, mentoring, recruitment support, personality assessment, and analyst or trader-style experience with collaborating investment firms.

This is one of the main reasons many candidates are interested in TrendUp. For early-career candidates trying to break into investment finance, relevant experience is often the hardest thing to obtain. The SRP can give strong candidates a more direct pathway toward that kind of experience.

However, it is important to understand the sequence. The L-Program is the development pathway. The SRP is the selective tier for candidates who perform strongly enough to be invited. That distinction matters because TrendUp should not be evaluated as a simple pay-for-internship model. The program is designed around training, assessment, and progression.

For candidates, this means the SRP can be a meaningful upside, but it should not be treated as automatic. A candidate who joins TrendUp should be prepared to earn that opportunity through performance.

The SRP should be understood as a selective tier, not an automatic outcome. The L-Program helps candidates build skill and signal. The SRP is the pathway for strong performers who are ready for more advanced, internship-style experience.

Is TrendUp worth it for non-target candidates?

TrendUp may be especially relevant for candidates from non-target schools or less traditional backgrounds.

In finance, pedigree and network still matter. Candidates from target universities often have easier access to recruiting pipelines, alumni networks, finance clubs, and internship channels. Candidates outside those channels usually need stronger alternative signals.

TrendUp can help by giving those candidates a structured way to build applied investment knowledge, prepare for a technical credential, and potentially access a more selective pathway through the SRP. It can also help candidates speak about markets, risk, derivatives, and investment strategy with more substance.

That does not mean TrendUp eliminates the challenge of breaking into finance. It does not. But it can help a serious candidate build a profile that is less dependent on school name alone.

For a non-target candidate, the program is most likely to be valuable if they use it actively: completing the work, engaging with the material, preparing seriously for the CFOA, and treating the SRP pathway as something to earn rather than something to expect.

Is TrendUp worth it for someone who already has finance experience?

Often, yes, especially if the candidate is still early in their career.

Some of the strongest TrendUp candidates are not complete beginners. They may already have completed an investment banking internship, worked in a family office, supported a wealth management team, participated in a student investment fund, traded their own account, or built early exposure to markets through a finance internship. These candidates can be especially valuable because they already understand parts of the industry and may be better positioned to turn additional training into real outcomes.

For this type of candidate, TrendUp is not a replacement for prior experience. It is a way to build on it. The L-Program can add applied investment strategy. CFOA preparation can add a more specific derivatives signal. The SRP can provide a more selective pathway toward analyst or trader-style experience.

The program may be less necessary for someone who is already well established in a strong investment role and does not need additional training, credentialing, or access. But for early-career candidates with promising experience who want to sharpen their investment profile, TrendUp can be highly relevant.

Is TrendUp worth it for someone who only wants the CFOA?

If the main goal is only to prepare for the CFOA exam, CFOA Direct may be the better fit.

CFOA Direct is designed as a self-paced exam preparation route. It is more focused and more efficient for candidates who already know they only want access to CFOA preparation materials and do not need the full cohort-based L-Program experience.

The L-Program is broader. It includes applied investment training, cohort progression, exposure to market strategy, candidate development, and possible SRP eligibility. That makes it more relevant for candidates who want to build a wider investment profile rather than simply prepare for one exam.

So the question is not whether CFOA Direct or the L-Program is universally better. The question is what the candidate is trying to accomplish.

For exam-focused candidates, CFOA Direct may be enough. For candidates who want broader training and a more developed pathway, the L-Program is usually more relevant.

What TrendUp does not guarantee

TrendUp does not guarantee that every participant will receive an internship, job offer, or finance role.

That is important to say clearly.

The L-Program is designed to help candidates build applied investment skills, prepare for the CFOA, and become more competitive for advanced opportunities. The SRP is selective. Employer outcomes depend on candidate performance, fit, market conditions, and available opportunities.

This does not reduce the value of the program. It clarifies what the program is.

A serious finance pathway should not pretend that outcomes are automatic. Finance is competitive. Candidates still need to perform. They still need to communicate well. They still need to build technical ability. They still need to show judgment.

TrendUp can help create the structure, training, and opportunity set around that process. The candidate still has to earn the result.

How to decide whether TrendUp is worth it for you

The easiest way to decide is to ask what signal you are currently missing.

If you are interested in investment finance but your current profile does not yet show enough practical skill, TrendUp may be worth considering. This is especially true if you want structured applied training, a derivatives-focused credential pathway, and the possibility of being considered for SRP.

If you already have some credible early finance experience, TrendUp may still be highly relevant. A strong internship, family office exposure, personal investing background, trading experience, or student investment fund role can make the program more valuable, not less. Those signals show that you already have momentum. TrendUp can help make that momentum more focused.

If you are already several years into a strong investment role with a clear track record, strong network, and direct access to the roles you want, the full pathway may be less necessary. You may still benefit from CFOA preparation or specific derivatives training, but your decision should be based on whether you need the additional structure, credentialing, or specialization.

The program is most relevant if you want to move closer to roles involving investment research, trading, hedge funds, family offices, asset management, proprietary trading, derivatives, or portfolio strategy.

It is less relevant if you want a passive course, a guaranteed outcome, or a purely academic finance credential.

A good candidate for TrendUp is not necessarily someone with the weakest starting resume. Often, it is someone with enough early promise to use the program seriously and turn the experience into a stronger long-term profile.

How to think about the decision

TrendUp may be worth it if… TrendUp may not be the right fit if…
You want applied investment training rather than a purely academic finance course. You want a passive course with minimal engagement.
You want to prepare for the CFOA and build stronger derivatives knowledge. You only want a quick certificate without caring about the underlying material.
You are serious about hedge funds, trading, family offices, asset management, derivatives, or buy-side finance. You are expecting a guaranteed internship or job regardless of performance.
You already have some early finance exposure and want to make your profile more focused. You are already several years into a strong investment role and do not need further training, credentialing, or access.

The bottom line

TrendUp is worth considering for candidates who want applied investment training, CFOA preparation, and a selective pathway toward stronger finance opportunities through the SRP.

It is most valuable for candidates who want to build a more credible investment profile and are willing to engage seriously with the material. It can be especially useful for strong early-career candidates, non-target candidates, career changers, and professionals who want to move closer to investment research, trading, derivatives, hedge funds, family offices, or buy-side finance.

It is probably not the right fit for candidates who only want a passive course or expect automatic outcomes.

The strongest reason to consider TrendUp is that it combines three things that are often separate: practical investment training, a technical credential pathway through the CFOA, and a selective route toward more advanced experience through the SRP.

For candidates trying to become more credible in investment finance, that combination can matter.

Frequently asked questions

Is TrendUp worth it?

TrendUp is worth it for candidates who want applied investment training, CFOA preparation, and a selective pathway toward SRP. It is most useful for candidates who are serious about building a stronger investment profile and are willing to engage with the program actively.

Is TrendUp a finance course?

TrendUp includes finance training, but it is broader than a normal finance course. The platform combines the L-Program, CFOA preparation, candidate development, performance observation, and possible SRP eligibility for strong performers.

Does TrendUp guarantee an internship?

No. Completing the L-Program does not automatically guarantee an internship or role. The SRP is selective and based on candidate performance, fit, and available opportunities.

What is the TrendUp L-Program?

The TrendUp L-Program is the main structured training pathway. It covers applied investment analysis, derivatives, futures, options, hedge fund strategy, market research, CFOA preparation, and professional readiness.

What is the CFOA?

The Certified Futures and Options Analyst is a derivatives-focused credential issued by the International Council for Derivative Trading. It focuses on futures, options, derivatives strategy, and risk management.

What is the SRP?

The Specialization and Recruitment Program is TrendUp’s selective pathway for strong L3 performers. It can include specialized preparation, mentoring, recruitment support, personality assessment, and analyst or trader-style experience with collaborating investment firms.

Who benefits most from TrendUp?

TrendUp is most relevant for serious students, graduates, early-career candidates, career changers, and professionals who want to build stronger investment skills. It can be especially valuable for early-career candidates who already have some credible finance exposure, such as an investment banking internship, family office experience, investment club leadership, trading experience, or strong academic preparation, and want to build a more focused profile for investment research, trading, derivatives, hedge funds, family offices, asset management, or buy-side finance.

Is TrendUp useful for candidates who already have finance experience?

Yes, it can be. TrendUp can be especially useful for early-career candidates who already have credible finance exposure and want to sharpen their investment profile. A candidate with an investment banking internship, family office exposure, student investment fund experience, or trading background may be a strong fit because the program can help convert early momentum into a more focused investment signal.

Who is TrendUp probably not right for?

TrendUp is probably not right for candidates who want a passive course, guaranteed job placement, or a credential without doing serious work. It may also be less necessary for candidates who are already several years into a strong investment role with a clear track record and direct access to the opportunities they want.


Related TrendUp pages

For a broader overview of the platform, read What Is TrendUp?.

To learn more about the core training pathway, visit the TrendUp L-Program.

For derivatives-focused certification preparation, see the Certified Futures and Options Analyst page or the CFOA Direct route.

For the selective internship pathway, read about the Specialization and Recruitment Program.

Categories
Thought Leadership

What Is TrendUp? Practical Investment Training, CFOA Preparation, and Talent Discovery

TrendUp helps finance candidates, career changers, and investment-minded professionals build practical investment skills, prepare for the CFOA, and create a stronger signal for investment employers.

TrendUp is a practical investment training and talent-discovery platform for students, graduates, early-career finance candidates, and professionals who want to develop stronger skills in investment analysis, derivatives, portfolio strategy, and market research.

The platform sits at the intersection of education, certification, and finance recruiting. The purpose is to help serious candidates move beyond surface-level interest in finance. Many students and early-career professionals are interested in hedge funds, trading, portfolio management, and buy-side research but struggle to build a credible profile before their first serious finance role. TrendUp closes that gap by combining structured training, technical preparation, mentorship, performance observation, and access to more advanced opportunities.

For candidates, it is a way to develop practical investment ability. For employers, it is a way to identify candidates who have already been trained, assessed, and observed through a more meaningful process than a standard resume screen.

01
Core Training

The L-Program

Multi-level applied investment training from foundational concepts to advanced derivatives, strategy, and professional readiness.

02
Certification

CFOA Preparation

Official ICFDT-authorized training for the Certified Futures and Options Analyst credential, via the L-Program or CFOA Direct.

03
Talent Pathway

The SRP

A selective internship and recruitment program for the strongest L3 performers, connecting top candidates with investment firms.

Why TrendUp exists

Finance is a difficult industry to enter because the early-career hiring market is highly noisy. Many candidates have similar resumes, similar academic backgrounds, and similar claims of interest in markets, investing, and strategy. At the same time, many firms (particularly smaller funds, family offices, boutique investment firms, and specialist trading teams) have limited time and infrastructure to evaluate junior candidates in depth.

Academic finance can provide a strong theoretical foundation, but it often does not fully prepare candidates for applied investment work. A student may understand valuation, portfolio theory, or derivatives in an academic context while still struggling to produce a clear investment memo, explain the risk in a trade idea, or think through how a strategy would perform under changing market conditions.

TrendUp was built around that gap. The program focuses on practical market thinking, investment strategy, derivatives knowledge, research development, and the professional habits expected in analyst and trader-style environments, with the explicit goal of helping candidates build a more credible signal, not just complete a course.

The TrendUp L-Program

The TrendUp L-Program is the core training pathway. It is structured across multiple levels, allowing candidates to progress from foundational investment concepts toward more advanced market strategy, derivatives knowledge, research thinking, and professional readiness.

The L-Program gives candidates a structured path through investment analysis, options and futures, hedge fund strategy, portfolio construction, and practical finance concepts. As candidates progress, they are expected to develop not only technical understanding but also clearer judgment around markets, risk, and strategy.

Level 1

Builds a stronger foundation in investment finance. Core concepts, market structure, and analytical habits.

Level 2

Introduces derivatives, trading strategy, and market structure. Candidates begin building more advanced technical fluency.

Level 3 → SRP

The advanced stage. Candidates move toward professional application and may become eligible for CFOA preparation and SRP consideration.

The L-Program also gives TrendUp visibility into candidate development over time. A candidate’s performance across training, written work, technical concepts, participation, and progression provides a richer picture than a single application or interview, which matters because early-career finance talent is genuinely difficult to judge from a resume alone.

CFOA preparation and derivatives training

A central part of TrendUp’s positioning is its connection to the Certified Futures and Options Analyst credential. The CFOA is a derivatives-focused certification issued by the International Council for Derivative Trading, covering options, futures, derivatives strategy, and risk management.

TrendUp is the official ICFDT-authorized training provider for the CFOA. Candidates can prepare through the cohort-based L-Program or, for a more self-paced exam-focused route, through CFOA Direct.

The CFOA is especially relevant for candidates targeting roles in derivatives, trading, portfolio strategy, hedge funds, proprietary trading, family offices, or risk-oriented investment work. Many finance candidates say they are interested in markets, but fewer can demonstrate structured preparation in options, futures, volatility, hedging, and trade behavior. The CFOA pathway addresses that directly.

Within TrendUp’s broader model, the CFOA is one important technical signal, not the whole program. The larger objective is to help candidates become more credible, more skilled, and more visible for investment-related roles.

The Specialization and Recruitment Program

The Specialization and Recruitment Program, or SRP, is the selective pathway for candidates who perform strongly in the L-Program. After completing L3, candidates with the strongest assessed performance may be invited to join it.

The SRP is designed to help candidates build a stronger professional profile through specialized preparation and analyst or trader-style experience. It can include investment tasks, mentorship, personality assessment, recruitment preparation, and internship-style work with collaborating investment firms, family offices, hedge funds, or private investment companies.

The SRP matters because it connects TrendUp’s training model to real talent discovery. It gives stronger candidates a way to demonstrate more than academic performance, creating a more developed record of preparation, specialization, and practical exposure. TrendUp creates a pathway where strong candidates can be identified and surfaced more effectively than through traditional application processes.

TrendUp as a talent-discovery platform

TrendUp is relevant not just for candidates but for employers. In an AI-shaped hiring environment, resumes and cover letters are easier to polish, which makes it harder for firms to identify genuine early-career investment talent from application materials alone. Employers need stronger signals of actual ability, technical preparation, and professional seriousness.

TrendUp’s employer platform is built around that problem. Instead of starting with a large pool of unfiltered applicants, firms can access candidates who have already gone through selective admissions, structured investment training, technical preparation, and in some cases SRP-level assessment or internship-style work.

For smaller investment firms, family offices, boutique firms, proprietary trading groups, and hedge funds, this can be particularly valuable. These firms need capable junior talent but often lack the recruiting infrastructure of a large bank or asset manager. A pre-vetted candidate pool reduces time spent screening and increases the probability that interviews are spent on serious, prepared candidates.

This is why TrendUp should be understood as more than a student-facing training program. Candidates use it to build practical investment skills and credibility. Employers use it to find candidates who have been trained, assessed, and observed before entering the hiring process.

Who TrendUp is for

TrendUp is primarily built for students, graduates, and early-career candidates who want to move closer to investment finance, including those interested in hedge funds, asset management, family offices, proprietary trading, portfolio strategy, investment research, derivatives, and related buy-side or markets-oriented roles.

It is also relevant for career pivoters. Some candidates come from adjacent fields: operations, technology, law, engineering, accounting, wealth management, financial services support. These candidates may already have useful professional habits or analytical ability but need a more focused investment training pathway to reposition themselves.

TrendUp is also used by experienced professionals and established investors who simply want to deepen their investment knowledge on a structured basis. Not everyone who joins TrendUp is trying to break into finance or change careers. Some participants are already working in financial services, running a business, managing personal capital, or advising clients, and want a rigorous, applied curriculum they can work through at their own level. A serious professional who wants a better understanding of derivatives, portfolio strategy, or how investment analysis actually works in practice will find the same substance here that a younger candidate building credentials would.

TrendUp is especially useful for candidates from non-target schools or less traditional backgrounds. In finance, background and network can matter a lot. A structured program that builds technical knowledge, produces stronger work, and creates a clearer professional signal can be particularly valuable for people who do not already have access to traditional recruiting pipelines.

For employers, the strongest use case is not generic hiring. It is roles where practical investment thinking, derivatives knowledge, research ability, trading awareness, or buy-side readiness are genuinely relevant.

How TrendUp is different from a normal finance course

A normal finance course focuses on content delivery. The student watches lessons, completes assignments, and receives a certificate of completion. That can be useful, but it does not create a meaningful signal for employers.

TrendUp is designed as a broader development pathway. The L-Program delivers structured training. The CFOA pathway adds a specific derivatives credential. The SRP creates a selective bridge toward internship-style experience and employer access. The employer platform connects stronger candidates with firms that value that preparation.

None of those components works the same way in isolation. Combined, they reflect a coherent logic: serious candidates need a way to build practical skill, and employers need a better way to identify serious candidates. TrendUp’s long-term role is to make that signal clearer.

Why TrendUp matters in the AI era

AI is changing how candidates apply for finance roles. Resumes can be rewritten quickly. Cover letters can be tailored in seconds. Interview preparation is faster. This can help good candidates communicate more clearly, but it also makes surface-level presentation less distinctive as a signal.

That shift makes observed performance, technical preparation, and credible assessment more important. Employers will still care about schools, internships, and interviews, but those signals carry more weight when supported by evidence of actual work and development.

TrendUp fits this environment because it gives candidates a way to demonstrate more than polished language. A candidate who has completed the L-Program, prepared for the CFOA, produced investment-related work, or progressed toward SRP consideration has a more developed profile than one relying on self-description alone, and that matters in finance, where roles require judgment, technical fluency, and the ability to think clearly about risk and markets under pressure.

In that context, TrendUp’s value is not only education. It is signal creation.

Frequently asked questions

  • What is TrendUp?

    TrendUp is a practical investment training and talent-discovery platform for students, graduates, early-career finance candidates, and professionals who want to build stronger skills in investment analysis, derivatives, futures, options, hedge fund strategy, and market research.

  • What is the TrendUp L-Program?

    The TrendUp L-Program is the core cohort-based training pathway, structured across multiple levels. It is designed to help candidates progress from foundational investment knowledge toward more advanced strategy, derivatives understanding, CFOA preparation, and professional readiness.

  • Does TrendUp prepare candidates for the CFOA?

    Yes. TrendUp is the official ICFDT-authorized training provider for the Certified Futures and Options Analyst credential. Candidates can prepare through the L-Program or through CFOA Direct, depending on whether they want a cohort-based development pathway or a self-paced exam-focused route.

  • What is the SRP?

    The Specialization and Recruitment Program is TrendUp’s selective pathway for strong L3 performers. It can include specialized preparation, personality assessment, recruitment support, and analyst or trader-style internship opportunities with collaborating investment firms, family offices, hedge funds, or private investment companies.

  • Does TrendUp guarantee an internship or finance role?

    Not automatically. Completing the L-Program does not guarantee selection into the SRP. The SRP is performance-based and selective. However, candidates who are invited into the SRP enter the selective internship tier of the program, where structured internship-style placement is part of the pathway. The distinction matters: the L-Program is a development pathway, and the SRP is the selective internship tier that follows it for the strongest performers.

  • Who should consider TrendUp?

    TrendUp is relevant for students, graduates, early-career candidates, and career pivoters who want to build practical investment skills and become more competitive for roles in investment research, trading, hedge funds, family offices, asset management, derivatives, and related finance areas. It is also used by experienced professionals and established investors who want a structured, applied curriculum to deepen their knowledge of investment analysis, derivatives, and market strategy, regardless of whether they are pursuing a new role.

  • How does TrendUp help employers?

    TrendUp gives employers access to candidates who have gone through structured investment training, technical preparation, and in some cases SRP-level assessment or internship-style work. This helps firms identify stronger early-career investment talent without relying on resumes alone.

  • Is TrendUp only for derivatives and trading?

    No. Derivatives and trading are important parts of TrendUp’s offering, especially through the CFOA pathway, but the program also covers investment analysis, portfolio strategy, hedge fund thinking, market research, and professional readiness for investment-related roles more broadly.

“Serious candidates need a way to build practical skill. Employers need a better way to identify serious candidates.”

Categories
Thought Leadership

AI in Finance Hiring: The Signal Problem for Employers

As AI makes candidate presentation easier to optimize, finance employers will need stronger evidence of how candidates actually think, work, and improve.

AI in finance hiring is changing how employers interpret candidate signals. Resumes, cover letters, and application materials are easier than ever to optimize, which makes it more important to identify candidates through observed work, technical preparation, and verified investment ability.

Finance hiring has always depended on imperfect signals. Employers look at universities, internships, grades, resumes, technical credentials, referrals, interview performance, writing ability, and evidence of genuine interest in markets. None of these signals has ever been complete on its own, but together they have helped employers make practical decisions in a competitive market with limited time and incomplete information.

AI is now changing the value of those signals.

A resume can be rewritten in seconds. A cover letter can be tailored to a specific job description almost instantly. A candidate can use AI tools to prepare answers for technical and behavioral interviews. Application materials can be produced at greater scale, with better formatting, fewer writing errors, and more precise keyword matching than before.

This does not mean candidates are less capable. In many cases, AI helps serious candidates communicate their experience more clearly. It may reduce the disadvantage faced by candidates who have strong ability but weaker writing or less familiarity with professional application norms. A 2023 NBER working paper on algorithmic writing assistance found that jobseekers who received resume writing assistance were hired more often, with no evidence that employers were less satisfied. The authors argued that better writing may help employers better assess ability, rather than simply creating a false signal.

That distinction matters. AI-assisted applications are not automatically low quality, and better presentation is not inherently deceptive. The problem is that presentation is becoming much easier to optimize. As polished resumes and cover letters become more common, employers need to be more careful about treating polish as proof of ability.

This is especially important in finance, where the real work is analytical rather than cosmetic. Investment roles require judgment, intellectual honesty, technical understanding, writing ability, and the capacity to reason under uncertainty. A candidate may be able to describe options strategy, hedge fund investing, macro analysis, or portfolio construction in fluent language without being able to produce useful work in those areas. The hiring challenge is therefore not simply to find candidates who sound credible. It is to identify candidates who have demonstrated credible ability.

What AI in finance hiring changes

The application layer was already crowded before generative AI. Competitive finance roles attract ambitious candidates who know how to optimize for prestige signals. Many applicants understand which keywords to include, which internships to emphasize, which clubs to mention, and how to frame their interest in investment banking, sales and trading, asset management, hedge funds, private equity, venture capital, or proprietary trading.

Generative AI has accelerated this pattern. Candidates can now produce more applications with less effort, and many of those applications will look more polished than equivalent applications did a few years ago. Employers are responding with their own AI tools to screen, rank, and manage candidate volume. Greenhouse’s 2025 AI in Hiring Report described an environment of declining trust, with recruiters reporting high levels of candidate deception and time spent filtering spam or low-quality applications.

The challenge with AI in finance hiring is not that candidates are using better tools. The challenge is that presentation is becoming easier to polish than actual ability is to verify.

If candidates use AI to optimize their applications for screening systems, and employers use AI to manage applications that have been optimized for those systems, the hiring process can become faster without becoming much more accurate. A process can be efficient at sorting documents while still being weak at identifying actual investment talent.

For finance employers, the core issue is signal quality. A resume line saying “options strategy” may represent real knowledge of volatility, time decay, assignment risk, spread behavior, and risk management. It may also represent language learned from online content or generated by a model. A candidate who claims to be interested in hedge funds may have a serious investment process. They may also be repeating the vocabulary that they think employers expect.

The difference between those two candidates is not always visible at the resume stage.

Finance hiring needs evidence closer to the work

In finance, stronger hiring signals tend to come from evidence that is closer to the actual work. A relevant internship matters because it suggests that the candidate has experienced some version of a professional environment. A strong investment memo matters because it shows how the candidate thinks. A well-defended pitch matters because it reveals judgment, preparation, and the ability to handle questions. A credible reference matters because someone has observed the candidate in context.

This is why skills-based hiring has become a more serious topic across industries. Research from Harvard Business School and the Burning Glass Institute has argued that companies often announce skills-based hiring practices before fully implementing them, but also found stronger outcomes among firms that genuinely hire and retain workers based on demonstrated skills rather than degree filters alone.

The same principle applies to finance, although the relevant skills are more specialized. Employers are not only looking for generic problem-solving ability. They want candidates who can read markets, understand tradeoffs, write clearly, recognize risk, and apply technical knowledge to realistic investment questions. For an analyst candidate, useful evidence might include research notes, valuation work, market commentary, idea generation, or portfolio analysis. For a trading-oriented candidate, useful evidence might include understanding of derivatives, trade structure, position behavior, risk limits, and the logic behind entries and exits.

For employers, AI in finance hiring increases the value of signals that are closer to real work: investment memos, technical assessment, trading rationale, research discussions, and performance under feedback.

These signals are harder to fake than surface-level application materials. They are not impossible to fake, especially as AI-generated work samples become more sophisticated, but they are still more informative when they are produced inside a structured environment where the candidate is observed, questioned, and evaluated over time.

The value of observed performance

The strongest signal in junior finance hiring is often observed performance over time. A single interview can be useful, but it is limited. A resume can open a door, but it cannot show how someone learns. A credential can indicate preparation, but it does not capture the full pattern of a candidate’s behavior.

Observed performance gives employers a richer picture. It shows whether a candidate follows through, whether they ask better questions, whether they can move from theory to application, whether they respond well to feedback, and whether they can improve after being challenged. It also helps distinguish between candidates who are simply interested in finance and candidates who are developing the habits required to contribute in an investment environment.

This is where structured training and assessment programs can become more relevant in the AI era. Their value is not only that they teach content. Their value is that they create a record of candidate development. A serious program can track how candidates perform across technical training, written work, discussions, mentoring interactions, research assignments, and internship-style tasks. Over time, that creates a better signal than an application package alone.

For employers, this matters because junior hiring is costly. A weak hire does not only cost salary. It consumes training time, senior attention, and team bandwidth. This is especially true for smaller funds, family offices, boutique investment firms, and specialist trading teams that do not have the recruiting infrastructure of a large bank. These firms may need talent, but they often have limited capacity to screen hundreds of early-career candidates from scratch.

A better pre-vetting layer can reduce that burden. It can help employers spend more time with candidates who have already shown some evidence of commitment, technical preparation, and practical ability.

Where TrendUp fits

TrendUp is built around this shift toward better candidate signal in finance hiring. The program works with students and early-career candidates who want to develop practical investment skills, then helps surface stronger candidates to employers.

Through the TrendUp L-Program, candidates are exposed to investment analysis, options and derivatives strategy, futures, hedge fund strategy, and related market concepts. The program is structured as an end-to-end development pathway that bridges financial theory and professional market practice. Candidates who progress through the program can be evaluated across multiple stages rather than through a single resume screen.

The Certified Futures and Options Analyst (CFOA) pathway also gives candidates a more specific technical signal in derivatives, mainly options and futures. In a market where many candidates claim interest in trading or investment strategy, technical preparation in areas such as options behavior, futures markets, volatility, hedging, and risk management can help employers distinguish between general interest and more serious preparation.

The Specialization and Recruitment Program (SRP) adds a more direct bridge between training and the industry. Top L3 performers can be considered for analyst or trader-style internships with partner investment firms, family offices, hedge funds, and related employers. The program structure creates opportunities for candidates to produce work, receive feedback, develop more specialized skills, and build a record that is more informative than self-presentation alone.

For employers, the relevant point is not that any program can guarantee talent. No program can. The value is that TrendUp can provide a more developed picture of a candidate before the employer invests significant time in the hiring process. A candidate may have completed technical training, worked on investment-related assignments, interacted with investment professionals, participated in research or strategy discussions, and been observed over a longer period than a normal interview process allows.

That kind of evidence is increasingly important in an AI-shaped hiring market. Employers need to know not only what a candidate says they can do, but what they have actually done, how they think, how they improve, and whether their interest in finance has translated into serious work.

For firms looking to hire, TrendUp’s employer platform is designed around access to a global pool of vetted candidates for investment funds, proprietary trading firms, boutique investment banks, venture capital, private equity, wealth management firms, and family offices. In a noisier hiring environment, that kind of pre-vetted candidate pipeline becomes more valuable because it helps employers move beyond polished applications and toward more reliable evidence of investment potential.

Verified ability will matter more

AI will continue to affect finance hiring. Candidates will keep using it to improve applications, prepare for interviews, and explain their experience more clearly. Employers will keep using technology to manage volume, screen applicants, and reduce administrative burden. Some of this will be useful. Some of it will create new problems.

The direction is clear enough: as application materials become easier to optimize, the market will place more value on signals that are closer to verified ability. Finance employers will still care about resumes, schools, internships, credentials, and interviews, but those signals will need to be supported by stronger evidence of actual work.

This may be positive for serious candidates, including those from less traditional backgrounds. If the industry becomes more focused on demonstrated ability, candidates who can produce strong work should have more ways to be noticed. But that requires credible systems for identifying, evaluating, and surfacing talent.

The long-term impact of AI in finance hiring will be a greater premium on verified ability, observed performance, and credible candidate evaluation.

The signal problem in finance hiring is not going away. In an AI-powered candidate market, it is likely to become more important. The firms that adapt well will be the ones that look beyond polished applications and build better ways to identify candidates who can think, write, analyze, and improve in real investment contexts.

For TrendUp, that is the long-term role: helping the finance industry move from surface-level candidate presentation toward a clearer view of verified investment talent.

Frequently asked questions

How is AI changing finance hiring?

AI in finance hiring is making candidate presentation easier to optimize. Resumes, cover letters, and interview preparation can now be improved quickly with AI tools, which means employers need stronger evidence of actual investment ability. The most useful signals are increasingly those based on observed work, technical preparation, written research, and performance under feedback.

Why are resumes becoming a weaker signal in finance recruiting?

Resumes are still useful, but they are easier to polish than before. A candidate can now describe finance experience, options strategy, market research, or investment interest in fluent language without necessarily having the ability to produce strong work. This makes it more important for employers to look for evidence that is closer to the actual work of analysts and traders.

What makes observed performance valuable for finance employers?

Observed performance helps employers see how a candidate thinks, learns, writes, handles ambiguity, and improves with feedback. In investment roles, this can be more informative than application materials alone because it reflects practical judgment rather than only presentation quality.

How does TrendUp help employers identify finance talent?

TrendUp helps develop and surface early-career investment candidates through structured training, technical preparation, research-oriented work, and the Specialization and Recruitment Program. For employers, this creates a more developed candidate signal than a resume alone because candidates can be evaluated across multiple stages before being introduced to hiring partners.

Categories
Thought Leadership

The Last Generation of Junior Analysts? What AI Is Really Doing to Investment Careers, And What You Should Do About It

A calm, honest look at a fast-moving shift, and why the window to act may be narrower than you think.


Somewhere in Sydney, a hedge fund called Minotaur Capital is running money with zero human analysts. Its AI system, “Taurient,” reads roughly 5,000 news articles a day, makes portfolio decisions, and posted a 13.7% return in its first six months. That’s nearly double the MSCI All-Country World Index over the same period.

That’s not a thought experiment. That happened in 2024 and 2025.

Now consider that Bridgewater Associates, the world’s largest hedge fund, launched a $2 billion machine-learning fund last year using models from OpenAI, Anthropic, and Perplexity. That Balyasny Asset Management built an internal tool, “BAMChatGPT,” now used by 80% of its employees. That Viking Global’s internal AI deployment grew 400% year-on-year. That Schroders has a system drafting investment memos before a human analyst ever touches them.

None of this is happening in the future. It’s happening now. And if you’re someone who wants to build a career in investment, it changes the calculus, significantly and urgently, for how you think about getting in.


The Honest Picture

The conversation around AI and finance tends to swing between two unhelpful extremes: breathless doom on one side, dismissive denial on the other. The reality is more specific than either.

A Citigroup report found that 54% of financial sector jobs have high potential for automation, more than any other sector. That’s a striking number. But what it obscures is which jobs are most at risk, and on what timeline. The roles under sharpest near-term pressure aren’t the senior portfolio managers running high-conviction books. They’re the entry-level positions: research analysts pulling data, building first-pass models, synthesizing company filings, producing the weekly sector summaries that used to require a small team of recent graduates.

One portfolio manager at a high-profile asset manager described using a research tool to generate analysis on a Treasury market event that would previously have taken a junior analyst at least two weeks. It was done in minutes. The manager noted that this had freed up the analyst’s time for more important work, then mentioned that the firm had plans to hire fewer junior analysts in the year ahead.

That’s the pattern, repeated quietly across firms: productivity framed as liberation, headcount decisions made in private. The work doesn’t disappear. The roles do.


A Market That Looks Open But Isn’t

The surface signals look relatively normal, and that’s part of what makes this moment tricky.

Job postings are still going up. Prestigious firms still run graduate programs. The salaries haven’t dropped. LinkedIn feeds still show people getting offers and posting that slightly awkward announcement about being excited to start their journey at XYZ.

But underneath that, something has shifted. Job placement outcomes at every single one of America’s “magnificent seven” elite MBA programs, including Harvard, Stanford, MIT, and Northwestern, have declined since 2021. In 2021, only 4% of Harvard MBAs received no job offer within three months of graduation. By 2024, that figure had risen to 15%. MIT saw almost the identical shift, from 4.1% to 14.9%. These are not weak candidates. They are among the most prepared, most credentialed young professionals in the world, and they are finding that the market they trained for has quietly contracted around them.

This is what we at TrendUp have started calling negative recruitment, and it’s one of the more important dynamics to understand if you’re serious about an investment career.

Negative recruitment isn’t a firm announcing layoffs or a publicized freeze. It’s subtler. Firms maintain the architecture of an open hiring market, the job posts, the campus visits, the information sessions, while systematically reducing the number of seats available and letting productivity gains do the work that expanding headcount used to do. The posts are real. The competition is real. The probability of an offer has dropped sharply. It’s an optical illusion with very real consequences for the people caught inside it.

Fortune has noted that firms are “pulling back on headcount growth for as long as possible, leaning on efficiency gains until they’re forced to add more humans to payroll,” and that this period of sluggish hiring could last for years.

Years. Not quarters.


What’s Actually Being Replaced, And What Isn’t

The investment industry will not be automated away.

The craft of investing requires genuine judgment about uncertainty, the ability to build conviction from incomplete information, the intuition for when a management team is telling you the truth and when they aren’t, the kind of relationship with a founder that produces real proprietary insight. None of that is something a model can replicate, not now, and probably not for a long time. The best investors in the world are paid for a form of contextual intelligence that remains stubbornly human.

What is being replaced is the scaffolding. The entry-level work that served, for decades, as the training ground where that senior judgment was developed.

Consider what junior analysts at asset managers and long/short funds have traditionally done: deep-dive research on individual companies, sector mapping, financial model maintenance, earnings call monitoring, investment memo first drafts, ESG scoring, competitor comparisons. Every single one of those tasks has been materially affected. Schroders’ internal platform, GAiiA, generates a draft investment memo that a human analyst then verifies and finalizes before it goes to the investment committee. The analyst is still in the loop, but the loop is shorter, and fewer loops require a human at all.

The uncomfortable downstream question: if the junior roles contract, how does the next generation of senior investors learn the craft? The industry doesn’t have a clean answer to that yet. But the question itself creates a specific kind of urgency for anyone who wants to be in that pipeline.


Who Is Still Getting In

The people successfully breaking into investment careers right now look a little different from the cohorts of five years ago.

They arrive with proof of work, not just pedigree. In a market where every seat attracts a larger and more credentialed pool of applicants, academic qualifications are necessary but no longer sufficient. The candidates getting offers are the ones who can show a body of work: investment theses written and defended, models built from scratch, sector analysis that demonstrates a genuine point of view. Firms want people who already think like investors, not people who plan to start thinking that way once they’re hired.

They understand the tools at a practitioner’s level. Not as engineers, but as people who know what the tools can do, how to direct them, where they fall short, and how to apply judgment on top of the output. Recruitment firms are already noting a split in the market: profiles with those skills have become extremely competitive to hire, while more traditional finance candidates are facing a harder road. The people getting through tend to be the ones who can do the fundamental analysis and know how to use what’s available to them.

They built their network before they needed it. In a market defined by negative recruitment, a significant share of opportunities never reach a public post. They’re filled through relationships, through mentors, alumni, and practitioners who know a candidate and can vouch for them before a process ever opens. In many parts of the market, network is the thing that matters most.


Why Timing Matters More Than People Realize

There is a version of this story that ends with “don’t worry, the industry will adapt and new opportunities will emerge.” That version is probably correct, over a long enough horizon.

But it isn’t very useful for someone deciding what to do about their career in the next twelve months.

The firms still building meaningful junior analyst cohorts are doing so because their integration of these tools isn’t yet complete. There is a transitional window, a period where strong preparation, the right skills, and genuine relationships can still get a talented person through a door that is closing, slowly but measurably. That window is open now. The evidence suggests it will be narrower a year from now, and narrower still the year after.

The people who move during this window, who invest in the right preparation and build the right relationships ahead of the next hiring cycle, will have a meaningfully different set of options than those who wait. Preparation compounds. In a tightening market, starting six months earlier than everyone else is a structural advantage that’s very hard to close.


What TrendUp Is Built For

We created TrendUp Now because we were watching this shift happen and felt the responsibility to build something that responded to it honestly.

The platform brings together structured investment education designed around how buy-side roles actually work today, mentorship from practitioners who are currently inside the firms that are hiring, and a community of people working through exactly the same situation. We track hiring patterns closely, including the negative recruitment dynamics that most job platforms don’t surface, because those platforms have no incentive to tell you the market is harder than it looks.

We won’t promise you an offer. No one who’s being honest can do that. What we can give you is a clear picture of where this market is heading, the preparation that actually matters in the current environment, and access to the people and relationships that open doors before they’re ever posted publicly.

If an investment career is something you’re serious about, the most important thing you can do right now is not wait for the right moment. The right moment is already here.

Categories
Thought Leadership

The Diversity Dividend in Investment Finance

Alex Liberfield of Liberfield Capital discusses the benefits of thinking outside the box when hiring in the Investment Finance field

The downside of traditional hiring in Investment Finance

Investment Finance is probably one of the most challenging sectors for someone to break into, especially if they don’t fit the extremely narrow profile required for most roles.

A very specific type of candidate is usually seen as the only right fit, and if applicants don’t meet these somewhat arbitrary requirements, they are usually ignored. Almost all roles require previous experience in the sector, which creates a very clannish environment. Consequently, many candidates get stuck in an endless cycle of not being hired because of lack of experience, and not getting the experience because nobody hires them because they lack that experience.

The main consequence of this is that many exceptionally talented people are never given a chance, the workforce is very homogenous, and the overall sector performance suffers.

This is not only negative for the candidates, but notoriously detrimental for the companies in the field and the industry in general. Many investment firms, especially hedge funds, pride themselves in ‘delivering alpha’, usually by thinking differently from most market participants, often thinking outside the box and maybe going against the trend. Given this ethos, it’s quite surprising that many of these firms still follow extremely narrow, classic hiring practices that are more 1950s corporate than 21st century investment firm.

We tend to tell our investors that our analysts have the capacity to uncover hidden opportunities, explore 2nd, 3rd and 4th order effects, make links between different -seemingly unrelated- events, or identify economic, social or political trends before the market does. This requires hiring people with a high degree of knowledge and analytical ability, there is no discussion about that. The problem comes when every single one of our analysts comes from the same exact background. Such homogeneity tends to exacerbate the negative effects of groupthink and produce very similar ideas, hindering the out-of-the-box thinking that is often needed to outperform.

Our experience hiring diverse professionals 

I have personally noticed how incorporating high caliber and diverse professionals has increased our performance in the past few months.

For example, in early 2021, by hiring as an analyst an East European polyglot with a background in Law, we were able to identify trends related to geopolitics, foreign exchange and commodities in market-beating accuracy and speed. This analyst’s own background allowed him to not only easily access foreign sources, but also naturally understand the underlying dynamics in the conflict, and the economic impact it would have in a series of strategic sectors.

Another example: a few months earlier, when we hired a young, unorthodox candidate with a CS/Engineering/gaming background, he was able to develop novel data gathering strategies to screen and interpret social media sentiment, which allowed us to successfully front run a lot of the retail-driven trends of 2020-2021. We would have never hired either of them had we considered only those individuals that met our narrow list of classic requirements.

So, think about it: If everyone you hire comes from the same small list of schools, has the exact same post-graduation IB/PE experience, speaks the same language, has the same interests, and comes from the same city, the chances of your team coming up with alpha are reduced.

The benefits (and necessity) of the diversity dividend

It’s also a common mistake to think that the traditional IB-to-HF path is the only one that guarantees a certain level of knowledge and skills. While IB is a competitive space and thus acts as a filter for a certain type of worker, there are many other fields out there that also satisfy that requirement. Many other backgrounds and professional experiences also produce candidates with valuable transferrable skills, not to mention the wealth of sector specific knowledge they can bring to the table. Furthermore, bringing in external talent can also have a multiplier effect by teaching your current team some new best practices, as well as widening your team’s horizons, thereby generating superior ideas.

The diversity dividend is not only real but can also give you a significant edge in this space. In a competitive world that thrives on the generation of new ideas and the potential to identify new opportunities, it pays to have a diverse workforce.

Just as we do with our investment strategy, we should not be afraid to think outside the box and hire people from different backgrounds and life experiences, varied skillsets and interests, and different networks and social connections.

Your bottom line will thank you.

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Thought Leadership

Hedge Funds vs Investment Banking: What’s the Difference?

Among those who want to pursue a career in High Finance, a very common doubt is whether they should choose the Investment Banking path, or whether they should explore the buy-side instead (hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, family offices, private equity, etc). While the answer to that question will vary according to each individual’s profile, it’s important to clarify how investment banking differs from, in this case, hedge funds.

Investment Banking (IB)

If you choose to pursue a career in sell-side Investment Banking (IB) you’ll be assisting your bank in offering a range of services, namely equity capital raises, debt capital raises, issuing of new products, insuring bonds, facilitating M&As, helping with IPOs, etc. In short, you’ll be providing -and selling- a service to companies, buy-side firms, and other institutions.

What that means is that your main task will be to generate business for your bank and provide its clients with these products and services. Your day-to-day, especially during your first years, will be spent on tasks like modeling, working on pitchbooks, and other administrative tasks. You will often be dealing with several clients, and as a result, the working days in IB tend to be intense and long.

✅  IB – PROS

Pro #1

One of the big advantages of an IB route is that it is relatively easier to get into compared to hedge funds. This is mostly because investment banks tend to be bigger institutions that have the logistics to set up campus recruiting events, summer internship programs, and different outreach solutions. Their big size (think Goldman, JP Morgan, Morgan Stanley, HSBC; Deutsche, etc) means that they have many openings in their firm every year, and thus having the opportunity to interact with one of their recruiters, especially while still in university, is easier than in other fields. As it is the norm in High Finance though, the school you go to will matter, and students from non-target schools do not have it as easy, but the opportunity to try is usually there.

Pro #2

Starting salaries tend to be attractive, and higher than in other Finance fields. Career progression is usually relatively straightforward too, and it certainly allows for a financially comfortable, as well as relatively stable, career.

Pro #3

Due to the intensity of the work, having IB experience tends to signal to prospective employers that you’re a competent hard-worker, which makes it relatively easy to transition into other finance roles after a few years in IB. It’s also a good base from which to build a network.

❌  IB – CONS

 Con #1

The biggest disadvantage of working in IB is the grueling, long working days. 15 hour days are common, pulling all-nighters is often needed when deadlines approach, and working weekends is a more frequent occurrence than most would like.

 Con #2

The work is not necessarily the most stimulating. Especially early on, you’re tasked with endless modeling assignments and pitchbook preparation. These tasks can end up feeling quite mechanical and rarely are they intellectually stimulating. If you’re more of a creative or ideas person, IB can often feel limiting.

 Con #3

Despite the name ‘investing’, there is little actual investing and a lot of selling and capital raising. If you enjoy being engaged with market movements, coming up with investment ideas, strategizing trades, etc, you might be disappointed, as you’re more likely to spend your day working on modeling spreadsheets and client slide decks.

 

Hedge Funds (HF)

If you choose to follow the Hedge Fund (HF) path, you’ll be tasked with evaluating and researching investment opportunities. Your ultimate goal is to come up with ideas that can deliver ‘alpha’, i.e. superior risk-adjusted returns to your investors. Hedge funds come in all shapes and sizes, but your day-to-day will probably revolve around conducting investment research, pitching ideas to your Portfolio Manager (PM), sourcing and structuring potential deals, and, depending on the stage of the fund, preparing marketing materials for your prospective clients. Depending on the areas your fund operates you’ll need to be familiar with the ins and outs of them: equities, bonds, options, futures, debt, real estate, etc.

✅  HF – PROS

Pro #1

If you have a passion for markets and investing, working at a hedge fund will allow you to constantly be engaged. You’ll follow different markets, research opportunities, and use different tools to come up with strategies.

Pro #2

If you like coming up with ideas and you’re creative, hedge funds should be a decent fit, as you’ll have the opportunity to think about different actions that could generate a return for your clients. You’ll need to combine your creativity and out-of-the-box thinking with good risk/reward assessment and rational analysis. This can be a good way to test the power of your ideas, which is why it tends to be an intellectually rewarding job.

Pro #3

If you’re good, the compensation can be very, very, high. Unlike Investment Banking salaries, which tend to increase in a more moderate manner, compensation in HF can be virtually uncapped and can be in the millions (or billions for some managers) if your performance is good enough. In this regard, it is one of the most meritocratic, and financially rewarding, career paths available.

Pro #4

Work-life balance is significantly better in hedge funds than in investment banking. While there may also be some long days, working hours are generally shorter, all-nighters are much rarer and weekend work is infrequent (why bother if the market is closed anyway).

Pro #5

Given the wide array of different hedge and investment funds, it should be relatively easier to find one that matches your values, philosophy, and worldview. Investment banks, on the other hand, are much more homogeneous.

Pro #6

Many hedge funds tend to be less formal than investment banks and their workplaces are more casual. Unless you’re dealing directly with clients, many firms don’t require formal business attire, for example, so you can leave your suit and tie at home if you feel like it.

❌  HF – CONS

Con #1

Compared to Investment Banking, starting salaries are somewhat lower. This is because, generally, a big part of your compensation is linked to your performance so the pay is initially lower, until you’ve had a chance to prove yourself.

Con #2

The rise of passive investment through ETFs has hurt some funds in the past decade as, in this long-running bull market, returns have been similar or better in index-tracking ETFs than in some hedge funds (especially when taking commissions into account). That has reduced the number of funds and forced others to reduce their compensation). However, when volatility returns to the markets, the situation will likely revert back.

Con #3

A hedge fund is less stable than an investment bank because if the fund underperforms and clients lose confidence, the fund may close down and you may need to move to a new one.

Con #4

Perhaps the biggest disadvantage of hedge funds as a career choice is that access to them is very hard. Unlike Investment Banking, most firms in this space are small or mid-sized, with few employees, and thus do not have the recruitment capacity of the big IBs. Consequently, things like campus recruiting events, summer internships, etc, are a very rare occurrence in this field. Additionally, most hedge funds do not hire recent college graduates and prefer to hire someone with at least a couple of years of Finance experience. This is why a program like TrendUp Now’s L-Program can be extremely valuable, as we are able to offer hedge fund internships to the top participants of every cohort.

Breaking Into Finance

Regardless of which path you take to break into Finance (hedge funds, investment banking, private equity, proprietary trading firms, family offices, mutual funds, wealth management, etc), the knowledge, skills, and internship experience TrendUp can offer will clearly set you apart from 99% of all other candidates, dramatically increasing your chances to land your desired job.

Categories
Thought Leadership

GameStop: A briefing on market manias & pump and dump schemes

How GameStop’s surge went from killing Wall Street to nothing.

The Slow Death Of GameStop

GameStop Corp. (GME) is an American video game, consumer electronics, and gaming retailer founded in 1984. GME is to video games what BlockBuster was to movies. In short, both of their business models were based on offering their products through a network of physical stores spread across the country.  GameStop initiated its decline during the late 2000s due to the clear shift of video game sales to online platforms like Steam, whose entire game catalog was available at all times, at the click of a button, and for similar or cheaper prices, all with much lower operational costs due to its online nature. The same can be said for Blockbuster once Netflix Inc. (NFLX) allowed limitless streaming of an extensive catalog for a flat monthly fee. Both GameStop and Blockbuster have thus been operating in dying industries for over a decade and as such their revenues, profits and other key metrics have sunk. In the case of Blockbuster, its slow but sure descent into the abyss despite multiple corporate restructurings has led its current parent company, BB Liquidating Inc. (BLIAQ), into bankruptcy. 

GME’s fate was -and probably will still be- as black as Blockbuster’s.

 

Michael J. Burry’s Long Equity Position on GameStop

However, things took a turn in June 2019 when famed hedge fund manager Michael J. Burry, who has been portrayed in the movie ‘The Big Short’ as one of the few who correctly predicted the 2007 housing led crisis, took a long equity position of 2.75 million shares (or about 3.05% of the company) through his fund Scion Asset Management LLC at a time when the company’s stock was trading somewhere between $2 and $4. His wager was not based on faith in management, which he actually did not have, nor in any hope of earnings growth. 

The logic behind the purchase was actually very simple and derived from careful inspection of GME’s balance sheet at the time. The inspection revealed that a company with a market capitalization of $290 million (as of August 15 2019) actually had cash reserves of around $480 million. As expressed in the letter he personally wrote to GME’s boardwhen share prices are at or near all-time lows and more than 60% of the shares are shorted despite cash levels much higher than the current market capitalization, lack of faith in management’s capital allocation is the default conclusion”

That’s why, acknowledging that it was near impossible for GME to pick up its underlying business activity, he urged management to conduct an aggressive share buyback program with the aim to retire over 80% of the outstanding shares.

 

A Heavily Shorted Stock

As the buyback took place the stock climbed back up fivefold to over $10 in the course of one year. The temporary spike brought some retail interest into the stock, but the company’s fundamentals remained dire. Consequently, several hedge funds and other -mostly institutional- investors continued to build up a short position on the stock. Given the stock’s metrics, for many shorting was seen as a no-brainer, to the extent that a few big players crowded the trade with such large positions relative to the size of the dying company that the combined positions ended up exceeding 100% of the available stock. To understand how that was actually possible consider the following example:

The simulated situation involves four investors. Annie owns shares of GameStop, and Annie and her broker have an agreement that allows the broker to lend Annie’s shares to short-sellers. The broker lends them to Bob, who subsequently sells those borrowed shares short in hopes that GameStop’s share price will fall. An investor named Chris ends up buying those borrowed shares from Bob. However, Chris has no way of knowing that those shares have been borrowed from Annie. To Chris, they’re just like any other shares. More importantly, if Chris has the same kind of agreement, then Chris’s broker can lend out those shares to yet another investor. Diane, another GameStop bear, can borrow those shares and sell them short. And so on.

 

Then Came The Short Squeeze Saga

By late 2020 a few prominent members of the then somewhat niche trading forum and subreddit r/wallstreetbets took notice of the situation and actively pushed for the community to pursue common action to cause a short squeeze.

A short squeeze may be defined as a sharp rise in the price of an asset that forces traders who previously sold short to close out their positions by buying the stock or, alternatively, hedging it through derivatives. The strong buying pressure thus ‘squeezes’ the short-sellers out of the market. A short squeeze often feeds on itself, sending the asset’s trading price even higher very rapidly and forcing more short sellers to cover their positions. As traders who previously sold short the asset must buy to cover their positions, the closing out of their short trades simply adds more buying pressure to the market, thus further fueling a rise in the asset’s price.

In the case of GameStop the extreme level of short interest magnified the effect when a horde of retail traders either bought stocks or bid up the premiums for call options, both pushing up the price of the stock while crowding the availability of cover for short sellers, including the most prominent one, Melvin Capital. As the stock rallied more than 50 fold from its previous levels or up to 250 fold from the 2019 lows due to a self propelling cycle of continuous short squeezing, the subreddit gained enormous popularity. The surge of new members, mostly very inexperienced traders looking for easy money who flaunted their unrealized gains, kept magnifying the short squeeze and adding more new traders to the action.

Screenshot of Gamestop Stock during January 2021 short squeeze on Yahoo Finance

 

‘Punishment’ For The Wall Street Class…

What’s actually interesting to read in the WSB forum was the idea that holding a long position in GME was not so much about the profitability of the trade itself but rather a ‘punishment’ for hedge funds as a whole.

The idea was represented in memes, jokes, and some deeply emotional posts about hitting back at the “finance establishment”.

It’s interesting to read how herd mentality led people to actually believe that inflicting big losses on a small number of mid sized funds at the expense of their own profits would somehow destroy the whole hedge fund industry.

A few days later, and not before some controversy regarding many retail brokers limiting trading on this and other similar stocks (a matter which we may discuss in a continuation of this article), GME’s price obviously collapsed, as expected. The stock collapsed over 85% from its highs to its current level, around $60 dollars, which is still way past its fair value. 

A meme from the reddit wall street bets forum during the short squeeze saga in January 2021

But was it really? 

Many hedge funds, ours included, were able to trade around these events (as it was essentially -an internet induced- classic pump & dump and they all tend to follow the same pattern). Many other funds were front-running retail traders.

Other firms thrived on the increased volatility. Some used the situation as an arbitrage opportunity, exploiting the inefficiencies that come with drastic, fast movements. Others shorted again while GME was at $300, making significant returns.

In general, the vast majority of funds made money while thousands of small retail traders are now left holding massive losses on dying stocks. This was no revolution, and overall it made Wall Street richer, and retail traders poorer.

 

There is no easy path to riches and, all the memes notwithstanding, nothing beats having a high-quality financial education to help you navigate, and profit, from events like these.

Categories
Thought Leadership

A Hedge Fund Manager’s Thoughts on Trading Options on Robinhood

As we reach the end of 2020 we all have a chance to reflect on this year’s main events. Most will point to the pandemic, its subsequent lockdowns, the political instability, the election etc.

In Finance, though, perhaps one of the most significant events has been the rise of Robinhood and the influx of young, inexperienced, speculative new traders into the market.

A lot has been written about this phenomenon (by CNBC, SeekingAlpha, Bloomberg, and NY Times, just to name a few). In fact, there are some funds and firms out there researching this further in order to come up with possible trading strategies to take advantage of it. But aside from pushing up beaten down stocks and contributing to, some would say, the forming of financial bubbles in some names, nowhere has their impact been as noticeable as in the options market. One of the hedge funds I co-founded uses options strategies as one of our main tools and we have noticed an impressive increase in option trading volume in 2020. The reality is that we had been observing a pattern of increased option interest for a few years, but this year’s surge has been impressive.

 

In fact, as Goldman Sachs reported in July of this year, single stock options trading volumes were bigger than the actual underlying stock shares volume for the first time ever in history.

Graph of Single Stock Options Trading Volumes Bigger Than Share Volumes

While shocking, it comes as no surprise that cash-strapped, risk-hungry, young new traders are attracted to options, as the leverage they offer is exceptional, and one can make very large returns if their prediction comes to pass. Buying call options on almost any name in March this year would have been immensely profitable, and a lot of new traders jumped on this bandwagon. While this was happening most professional funds, ours included, were designing hedging strategies to survive or profit from further potential downside moves, which never actually happened.

This means that possibly, for a few weeks this year, random Robinhood option traders significantly outperformed the ‘smart money’ crowd.

 

This is a double-edged sword.

While it is certainly exciting to experience high returns on your first ever trades, it conditions a lot of these new traders into believing that the strategies they put on are more valuable than they really are.

As a result, it is not surprising that this year’s put-to-call ratio has dipped to one of its lowest readings ever, suggesting that most option players are using options for bullish speculation (by buying calls) rather than for risk hedging or bearish speculation (buying puts).

That this is happening in 2020, a year when the worldwide economy has been crushed by the pandemic, is ironic to say the least. 

Graph of Equity Put/Call Ratio by CBOE

In the long term, this is unlikely to be sustainable.

Buying calls in markets with inflated valuations might work for a while but, as history tells us, the situation will revert back to its mean at some point. This is not to say that the markets will turn bearish, it’s just a comment on the mechanics of the option market. If a constant bull market, fuelled by inflation and the dollar’s devaluation, is the new normal, then option premiums will also increase, making call buying more expensive and lowering the odds of success of call buyers

The reality is that, in the long run, most retail option buyers will end up losing money. 

The only reason buying options has such an attractive risk/return proposition on paper is because the odds of success when buying options are low. Otherwise nobody would be willing to sell these instruments.

However, this influx of mostly call buyers presents a lot of opportunities for hedge funds and other professional players. Short option strategies that seek to sell options with inflated premiums to speculative unsophisticated traders are showing significant returns. This is because options trading is much more complex than it seems. Aside from the price of the underlying stock (delta) you need to at least take into account the option’s time (theta) value and its volatility (vega) values. Very few of the Robinhood traders are doing anything like that, which means there is significant value to be captured by exploiting this anomaly.

So if you have been trading options on Robinhood, I would suggest you keep track of what is and what isn’t working for you, and try to educate yourself about the complex world of options before you risk a lot of your capital.

If admitted to the TrendUp Now program, during the L2 course we will take a deep dive into the option strategies that we use day in and day out at our fund, and that we have been successfully running for years now. They may not be as initially enticing as buying cheap calls and striking it rich, but they are much more regular and consistent.

At the end of the day, the intelligent investor who is able to generate superior risk-adjusted returns on a consistent basis will always beat the speculator who had perhaps gambled and been lucky a few times. The latter, at the end of the road, through a string of bad trades, will likely lose most of what he once gained.

Categories
Thought Leadership

Why don’t hedge funds have websites?

In the 21st Century, it is a given that if you do not have an internet presence (website, LinkedIn, etc), you simply don’t exist. Nowadays, even corner lemonade stands run by grade school kids seem to have a website or at least a presence on social media.

However, there is one notable exception: Hedge funds.

Most hedge funds do not have a strong internet presence if any at all. When they do, even top multi-billion hedge funds like Renaissance Technologies, with over $110 B in Assets Under Management, have very simple websites that look like they were built in 1995.

Their LinkedIn page is even worse. It has no logo and no content and their description is literally this: “——————————“.

LinkedIn page of the hedge fund
LinkedIn page of the hedge fund “Renaissance Technologies” that has neither a logo nor content

Furthermore, many hedge funds employ savvy firms to do the opposite they do with most clients: keep their name away from the spotlight. Many hedge funds ask their employees to not publicly state online where they work.

So what’s going on? Why does your corner mom and pop shop have a stronger internet presence than a multi-billion dollar company? Why do so many hedge funds act as if they were secret intelligence operations?

There are six main reasons:

1. Legal: Up until 2013, it was actually illegal in the United States for hedge funds to have any sort of effective website as they were barred from advertising and engaging in “general solicitation”. This was a rule designed to protect smaller investors from investing in expensive, complex and not very transparent instruments like hedge funds. Even if that rule has now been somewhat relaxed, the industry has gotten used to not having a strong online presence, and many funds are unlikely to change as that could welcome potential unwanted legal scrutiny.

2. Clients: In order to be legally allowed to invest in a hedge fund you must be an accredited investor (currently defined by rule 501 of Regulation D as having an income of over $200k and a net worth of +$1M) to even be considered, and most hedge funds have much higher wealth requirements, as well as very high minimum initial investment amounts. Many hedge funds understand that an online presence is unlikely to influence these sorts of clients to make such important investment decisions. Rather, hedge funds use their network to personally reach out to potential qualified investors.

3. Exclusivity: Just like the secret hipster bars and restaurants hidden behind nondescript doors in industrial buildings are all the rage, in the 21st century, it seems like not being online confers an aura of secrecy and exclusivity. It’s almost like a reverse psychology exercise: “We don’t need your money so we don’t advertise”. This can be very powerful to lure high net worth individuals. For example, Bernie Madoff’s Ponzi scheme grew exponentially because, in part, his fund’s extremely low profile and secrecy made it seem like a highly coveted and prized opportunity among the world’s wealthiest).

4. Need: Unless you’re a new fund or your capital rising through traditional routes is not working, there is actually very little need to have any sort of public presence. Your fund may be fully subscribed or you may not be looking for more capital. And if you do, chances are your own network’s word-of-mouth may be enough to get the few extra investors you need. It might simply make no sense to spend money on developing an internet presence, and then dealing with the resulting unsolicited attention or requests from unqualified wannabe investors.

5. Regulation: Hedge funds are loosely-regulated private partnerships and are not required to report their performance to any centralized database. Funds will usually only publicize their performance to prospective investors and marketing databases if they are looking to attract new investors. While there are some private hedge fund databases that try to gather performance data, the reality is that they are very incomplete as they rely on voluntary reporting. Furthermore, if the fund owns less than $100MM in regulatory assets, they do not even need to file any SEC forms, making the fund virtually non-existent not only in the eyes of the public, but also for regulators and government agencies. This is exacerbated when the fund is not even registered in the US (many opt for jurisdictions with even laxer regulations like Bermuda, the Cayman Islands, Hong Kong, Luxembourg, Singapore etc).

6. Privacy: One of the aspects that HNW individuals value the most is privacy. If the fund they’re investing in were to, for example, publish their performance or detailed investment philosophy online, some clients could be concerned that certain parties (government, journalists, competitors, etc) could use that information against them. The same goes for hedge fund workers. The preferential tax treatment for carried interest is also politically controversial, adding to the desire to avoid the spotlight. 

So, all in all, if you look for a hedge fund on Google or LinkedIn and expect to find a lot of information, you will probably be disappointed. Anyone can build beautiful websites nowadays. Maybe those who choose not to is because they can afford to do so.

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